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The shopper arrives from ChatGPT: what high-end brands should fix before the holidays

Shoppers who arrive from ChatGPT and other AI assistants convert better than almost anyone. What high-end brands should fix before the holidays, and how to measure it.

By Valev Laube
November 2, 2026
4 min read
Woman in sunglasses and a burgundy coat holding shopping bags
Photo: freestocks / Unsplash

This holiday season, more of the people who reach your website will have already asked an AI assistant what to buy. They arrive later in the decision, often on a product page instead of the homepage, and they convert better than almost any other visitor. For a high-end brand, that changes what the website has to do in the first ten seconds.

What the numbers say

Adobe, which measures more than a trillion visits to US retail sites, forecasts $275.1 billion in US online holiday spending between November 1 and December 31, up 6.7% from last year. It expects traffic from AI assistants to retail sites to rise 130% over the same period, counting only shoppers who click a link in an AI answer.

Growth rates this large start from a small base, so don’t read them as share. Search, email and direct visits still matter more for most stores. But the direction is clear, and the quality of the visitor is the real story: someone who asked an assistant a careful question and clicked through is close to buying.

The checkout inside ChatGPT came and went

In September 2025, OpenAI launched Instant Checkout, which let people buy inside ChatGPT, starting with Etsy sellers. In March 2026, it stepped back. OpenAI said the first version “did not offer the level of flexibility” it wanted, and it repositioned ChatGPT as a place to research and compare products, with purchases completed on the merchant’s own site or through merchant apps inside ChatGPT. Google and Shopify have built their own standards for AI shopping, and Shopify now makes eligible stores’ catalogs available to AI assistants.

For luxury and design-led brands, this is good news. The sale still happens on your website, in your typefaces and your voice, with your service around it. The assistant’s job is to send you the right person. Your job is to finish the conversation well.

What an assistant needs before it recommends you

What the visitor needs when they land

AI-referred shoppers often skip your homepage. The product page they land on has to do the homepage’s work as well as its own:

Check it on a phone first. Adobe expects 57.4% of this season’s US online spending to happen on mobile devices.

Measure it separately

In Google Analytics 4, AI assistants mostly appear as referrals from domains such as chatgpt.com, perplexity.ai, gemini.google.com and copilot.microsoft.com. ChatGPT also tends to add utm_source=chatgpt.com to the links it shows. Create a custom channel group called “AI assistants” so these visits stop hiding inside “Referral.” Some AI visits still arrive without a referrer and land in “Direct,” so treat the number as a floor.

Where to start: ask ChatGPT, Gemini and Perplexity the question your best client would ask before buying from you, in their words, not yours. See whether you appear, what they say about you and which page they link to. Then open that page on your phone and read it as if you had never heard of the brand. If you want a faster read, my free AI Visibility Check looks at your site the way these assistants do.

Sources: Adobe’s 2026 US holiday forecast (September 2026), Adobe’s 2025 holiday season results (January 2026), Adobe Analytics data for July 2026 as reported by Digital Commerce 360 (August 2026), and TechCrunch on OpenAI’s change to Instant Checkout (March 24, 2026).

Building or refreshing a high-end brand? I help fashion, luxury, hospitality and professional brands with brand, website and AI work, from New York and Tallinn.

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Valev Laube